Analisis Faktor-Faktor yang Mempengaruhi Produksi Cabai di Desa Parau Sorat Kecamatan Sipirok Kabupaten Tapanuli Selatan

Abstract

Chili is a strategic horticultural commodity that plays a role in farmer income and food inflation stability. At the farm level, chili production often fluctuates due to differences in input use, management capabilities, and pressure from plant pests and climate. This study aims to analyze the effect of land area, labor, fertilization frequency (urea, NPK, compost), and spraying frequency (insecticide, fungicide, herbicide) on chili production in Parau Sorat Village, Sipirok District, South Tapanuli Regency. The method used was a survey of 30 chili farmers with multiple linear regression analysis. The estimation results showed a coefficient of determination (R²) of 0.705. Partially, only land area had a positive and significant effect on production, while labor, fertilization frequency, and spraying frequency were not significant. This finding indicates that the pattern of production increase in the study location is still predominantly based on land extensification; input intensification has not shown a significant contribution to production variation in the observed samples. The study recommends strengthening technical efficiency (balanced fertilization and IPM-based pest and disease control), increasing farmer capacity, and improving the quality of input data (dosage and timeliness) for further research.